The story vs. the result
When does a great explanation actually help us understand a game, and when is it just hindsight?
Sports / The game & the questions
A fan, first.
I love sports: the competition, the stories, and the conversations that keep going after the game.
Football / An ongoing learning project
What do the
numbers really say?
My football-analysis work explores how to test predictions against what actually happened. The project has included a look back at the 2024 NFL season.
For me, the interesting part is asking better questions: what did we know before the game, what did we miss, and what would change our minds?
Read the sports notebookQuestions on my mind
What the model missed
What can an unexpected result teach us about the assumptions behind a prediction?
Why we keep watching
The uncertainty, the personalities, and the moments no spreadsheet can recreate.
This is a fan’s notebook and a learning project, not a betting or prediction service.